Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
US Briode — FCO Firminy
Model prediction and result
0:4Missed
In short
Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, US Briode to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
US Briode are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- US Briode are 87 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Briode — FCO Firminy What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| US Briode not to lose | 68% | |
| FCO Firminy not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →