Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
US Montagnarde — Vitré
Model prediction and result
0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Vitré to win (43%), came true.
Vitré are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vitré are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Montagnarde — Vitré What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| US Montagnarde not to lose | 57% | |
| Vitré not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 16.11Tours1:1
- 27.10away · FC Belugas Ria2:0
- 06.03away · Olympique Saumur3:3
- 20.02Stade Briochin1:1
- 14.02Dinan-Léhon1:0
- 16.11Plouvorn1:1
- 26.10away · US Fougères3:1
- 16.11Laval0:0
- 27.10Rennes CPB Brequigny8:0
- 09.12away · Dinan-Léhon0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →