Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
US Saint Philbert — La Suze
Model prediction and result
4:0Came true
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, US Saint Philbert to win (47%), came true.
US Saint Philbert are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings US Saint Philbert are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- US Saint Philbert are 144 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Saint Philbert — La Suze What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| US Saint Philbert not to lose | 73% | |
| La Suze not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 22.12Quevilly0:2
- 30.11Pau1:1
- 16.11Thouars Foot 793:0
- 26.10Chataigneraie2:2
- 09.12Laval1:2
Head to head
- 30.10.2021La Suze — US Saint Philbert1:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →