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Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

US Sucs et Lignon — Hauts Lyonnais

Model prediction and result

0:3Came true
US Sucs et Lignon27%
Draw26%
Hauts Lyonnais47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Hauts Lyonnais to win (47%), came true.

Hauts Lyonnais are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hauts Lyonnais are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: US Sucs et Lignon — Hauts Lyonnais What is xG?1.2–1.6
US Sucs et Lignon not to lose53%
Hauts Lyonnais not to lose73%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

Form

US Sucs et Lignon

No past matches in the data yet.

Hauts Lyonnais

  • 10.01Lorient1:3
  • 21.12away · Bassin d'Arcachon1:0
  • 29.11Feurs1:1
  • 15.11away · Andrézieux Boutheon1:1
  • 25.10away · Seauve Sports4:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →