Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
US Vandoeuvre — Centre Ornain
Model prediction and result
0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, US Vandoeuvre to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
US Vandoeuvre are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- US Vandoeuvre are 110 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Vandoeuvre — Centre Ornain What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| US Vandoeuvre not to lose | 69% | |
| Centre Ornain not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 31.01away · St Meziery1:1
- 07.12Red Star2:3
- 17.11Lunéville2:0
- 27.10away · Cote des Blancs2:0
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →