Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
USC Mezidon — Rouen
Model prediction and result
0:7Came true
In short
Final score 0:7: the model's most likely outcome, Rouen to win (56%), came true.
Rouen are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rouen are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Rouen are 133 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: USC Mezidon — Rouen What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| USC Mezidon not to lose | 44% | |
| Rouen not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 20.12Lille0:1
- 30.11away · Ginglin Cesson Saint Brieuc3:0
- 26.10Stade de Grand Quevilly11:1
- 28.02Valenciennes1:1
- 08.02Monaco1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →