Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
USF Fecamp — Grand-Quevilly FC
Model prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Grand-Quevilly FC to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: USF Fecamp 34%, Grand-Quevilly FC 39%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: USF Fecamp — Grand-Quevilly FC What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| USF Fecamp not to lose | 61% | |
| Grand-Quevilly FC not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →