Serie A, round 11 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Venezia — Udinese
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Venezia 39%, Udinese 32%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Udinese are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Udinese are 83 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Venezia — No. 20, 0 pts; Udinese — No. 15, 4 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Venezia: 5 defeats in a row; Udinese: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Venezia 1 win, Udinese 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Venezia — Udinese What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Venezia not to lose | 68% | |
| Udinese not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Venezia
- Venezia goals
- Udinese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10away · Atalanta1:3
- 19.09Lazio0:2
- 11.09Fiorentina2:4
- 06.09away · Frosinone2:3
- 02.09away · Udinese1:2
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Udinese — Venezia2:1
- 01.02.2025Udinese — Venezia3:2
- 30.10.2024Venezia — Udinese3:2
- 10.04.2022Venezia — Udinese1:2
- 27.08.2021Udinese — Venezia3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →