Ghana Premier League, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)
Vision FC — Hearts of Oak
Model prediction and result
0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 33% fails in about 67 matches out of 100 on average.
Vision FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 27%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 25%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Vision FC: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Vision FC 1 win, Hearts of Oak 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vision FC — Hearts of Oak What is xG? | 0.9–0.7 | |
| Vision FC not to lose | 73% | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 25% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 75% |
Match events
- 86′Kwesi Asmah · Hearts of Oak0:1
Form
- 11.10away · Bechem United2:4
- 03.10Bibiani Gold Stars0:0
- 27.09away · Berekum Chelsea1:1
- 19.09Medeama SC1:1
- 12.09away · Ashanti Gold1:3
- 11.10Port City1:0
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
- 26.09away · Karela United0:1
- 20.09Bechem United0:0
- 13.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:1
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Vision FC — Hearts of Oak1:0
- 29.11.2025Hearts of Oak — Vision FC1:0
- 13.04.2025Vision FC — Hearts of Oak1:1
- 08.11.2024Hearts of Oak — Vision FC1:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →