Russian Cup, round 6 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3) · Stadion Trud im. L.I. Yashin
Volga Ulyanovsk — Chertanovo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
In short
Evenly matched: Volga Ulyanovsk 36%, Chertanovo Moscow 37%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Volga Ulyanovsk are 51 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Volga Ulyanovsk — Chertanovo Moscow What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Volga Ulyanovsk not to lose | 63% | |
| Chertanovo Moscow not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →