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A-League Men (Australia), round 5 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Adelaide United

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Model prediction for 20 November

Western Sydney Wanderers FC45%
Draw27%
Adelaide United28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Western Sydney Wanderers FC are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Western Sydney Wanderers FC — No. 2, 5 pts; Adelaide United — No. 12, 0 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Adelaide United: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1 win, Adelaide United 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Adelaide United What is xG?1.9–1.4
Western Sydney Wanderers FC not to lose72%
Adelaide United not to lose55%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.563%
Total under 2.537%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Western Sydney Wanderers FC
  • Western Sydney Wanderers FC goals
  • Adelaide United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatWestern Sydney Wanderers FCAdelaide United
Goals scored per match1.11.4
Goals conceded per match1.91.7
xG per match1.501.67
Opponents’ xG1.501.53
Shots15.617.1
On target4.96.0
Corners5.26.7
Cards1.61.8
Possession, %5655

Averages per match: Western Sydney Wanderers FC — the last 10, Adelaide United — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

  • 31.10away · Macarthur FC0:0
  • 24.10Auckland FC5:2
  • 16.10away · Sydney FC0:0
  • 25.04Melbourne Victory0:2
  • 18.04away · Wellington Phoenix1:2

Adelaide United

  • 01.11away · Perth Glory0:4
  • 25.10away · Sydney FC1:2
  • 15.05Auckland FC0:3
  • 09.05away · Auckland FC1:1
  • 26.04away · Melbourne City FC2:1

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Adelaide United2:4
  • 27.12.2025Adelaide United — Western Sydney Wanderers FC3:2
  • 07.11.2025Adelaide United — Western Sydney Wanderers FC2:0
  • 27.12.2024Adelaide United — Western Sydney Wanderers FC2:3
  • 02.11.2024Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Adelaide United3:4

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Finals seriesWellington Phoenix33007–1+69
2, Finals seriesWestern Sydney Wanderers FC31205–2+35
3, Finals seriesMacarthur FC31203–2+15
11Newcastle Jets30213–6-32
12Adelaide United20021–6-50

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →