Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stade Mohamed V

Wydad Casablanca — CODM Meknès

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Wydad Casablanca48%
Draw28%
CODM Meknès23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Wydad Casablanca to win (48%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 48% fails in about 52 matches out of 100 on average.

Wydad Casablanca are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wydad Casablanca are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Last 4 meetings: Wydad Casablanca 2 wins, CODM Meknès 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wydad Casablanca — CODM Meknès What is xG?1.5–1.0
Wydad Casablanca not to lose77%
CODM Meknès not to lose52%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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  • Handicap Wydad Casablanca
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Form

Wydad Casablanca

  • 03.10away · Difaâ El Jadida2:0
  • 26.09Widad Temara1:3
  • 05.07Union Touarga Sport1:2
  • 02.07away · RS Berkane0:2
  • 28.06Olympique Dcheïra1:3

CODM Meknès

  • 03.10KACM0:1
  • 26.09away · Difaâ El Jadida6:2
  • 05.07away · Ittihad Tanger1:2
  • 02.07FAR Rabat3:2
  • 28.06away · Olympic Club de Safi2:2

Head to head

  • 06.05.2026Wydad Casablanca — CODM Meknès2:0
  • 03.10.2025CODM Meknès — Wydad Casablanca1:3
  • 22.02.2025Wydad Casablanca — CODM Meknès0:0
  • 23.10.2024CODM Meknès — Wydad Casablanca2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Raja Casablanca31202–1+15
6CODM Meknès31116–3+34
7Ittihad Tanger31115–4+14
8FAR Rabat21103–2+14
9Wydad Casablanca31113–304
10Widad Temara31023–303

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →