Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Yvetot AC — Avranches
Model prediction and result
0:4Came true
In short
Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Avranches to win (42%), came true.
Avranches are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Avranches are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yvetot AC — Avranches What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Yvetot AC not to lose | 58% | |
| Avranches not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 10.01Strasbourg0:6
- 19.12Brest1:1
- 30.11CM Aubervilliers1:1
- 15.11Paris 13 Atlético0:0
- 26.10Dives-Cabourg1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →