Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Wednesday, 28 October, 20:00 MSK

Zamalek SC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab

Model prediction for 28 October

Zamalek SC55%

Draw28%

Al Mokawloon Al Arab17%

Model estimate at 20:38 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zamalek SC are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

By the strength ratings Zamalek SC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Zamalek SC — No. 3, 13 pts; Al Mokawloon Al Arab — No. 8, 8 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Al Mokawloon Al Arab: unbeaten in 4.
Last 3 meetings: Zamalek SC 0 wins, Al Mokawloon Al Arab 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zamalek SC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab What is xG?		1.4–0.8
Zamalek SC not to lose		83%
Al Mokawloon Al Arab not to lose		45%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		43%
Both teams to score: no		57%
Total over 2.5		37%
Total under 2.5		63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Zamalek SC
Zamalek SC goals
Al Mokawloon Al Arab goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Zamalek SC

11.10Al Ahly SC0:2
16.09away · Ghazl Al Mahalla1:0
08.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
31.08Petrojet-Suez2:1
26.08away · National Bank3:0

Al Mokawloon Al Arab

12.10ZED FC1:1
15.09away · Wadi Degla FC2:0
09.09Al Ahly SC1:1
02.09away · El Gouna FC1:0
27.08Al Masry SC2:3

Head to head

16.08.2025Zamalek SC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:0
29.07.2024Al Mokawloon Al Arab — Zamalek SC2:1
25.09.2023Zamalek SC — Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2	Al Ahly SC	6	5	1	0	11–3	+8	16
3	Zamalek SC	6	4	1	1	8–3	+5	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10–6	+4	13
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7–7	0	9
8	Al Mokawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7–6	+1	8
9	Petrojet-Suez	6	2	2	2	10–10	0	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

17:00
National BankAl Masry SCpreliminary
413128
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →