Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Wednesday, 28 October, 17:00 MSK

National Bank — Al Masry SC

Model prediction for 28 October

National Bank41%

Draw31%

Al Masry SC28%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

National Bank are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: National Bank — No. 7, 9 pts; Al Masry SC — No. 12, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Al Masry SC: winless in 4.
Last 5 meetings: National Bank 2 wins, Al Masry SC 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: National Bank — Al Masry SC What is xG?		1.3–1.0
National Bank not to lose		72%
Al Masry SC not to lose		59%
No draw		69%
Both teams to score: yes		48%
Both teams to score: no		52%
Total over 2.5		39%
Total under 2.5		61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap National Bank
National Bank goals
Al Masry SC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

National Bank

13.10Tala'ea El Gaish3:0
14.09away · Ceramica Cleopatra0:2
07.09Ghazl Al Mahalla3:1
31.08away · Asyut Petroleum1:0
26.08Zamalek SC0:3

Al Masry SC

11.10away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
15.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
07.09away · Petrojet-Suez1:2
31.08Pyramids FC0:1
27.08away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab3:2

Head to head

03.10.2025National Bank — Al Masry SC0:1
24.05.2025National Bank — Al Masry SC0:1
12.02.2025Al Masry SC — National Bank0:0
16.05.2024National Bank — Al Masry SC5:2
05.11.2023Al Masry SC — National Bank0:4

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	11–7	+4	12
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7–7	0	9
8	Al Mokawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7–6	+1	8
11	Olympic El Qanah FC	6	1	4	1	6–6	0	7
12	Al Masry SC	6	2	1	3	6–8	-2	7
13	Smouha SC	6	2	1	3	2–4	-2	7

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

20:00
Zamalek SCAl Mokawloon Al Arabpreliminary
552817
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →