AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bakersfield Condors are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts; Calgary Wranglers — No. 18, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bakersfield Condors 2 wins, Calgary Wranglers 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Bakersfield Condors 9, Calgary Wranglers 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bakersfield Condors
- Bakersfield Condors goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
- 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
- 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
- 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4
- 31.10Laval Rocket1:2
- 30.10Laval Rocket4:2
- 26.10away · Abbotsford Canucks2:4
- 25.10away · Abbotsford Canucks1:3
- 21.10away · Ontario Reign2:3
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers3:4
- 11.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Bakersfield Condors4:5
- 10.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Bakersfield Condors2:1
- 22.03.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers1:0
- 21.02.2026Bakersfield Condors — Calgary Wranglers4:5 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
| 18 | Calgary Wranglers | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .500 |
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonUtica Cometspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Charlotte CheckersProvidence Bruinspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.1
- Abbotsford CanucksColorado Eaglespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Grand Rapids GriffinsRockford IceHogspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →