AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Manitoba Moose are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.1.
Facts
- League table: Texas Stars — No. 32, 6 pts; Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Texas Stars 1 win, Manitoba Moose 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Texas Stars 9, Manitoba Moose 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose | 2.9–3.1 | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Texas Stars
- Texas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 02.11away · Rockford IceHogs3:4
- 01.11away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10Ontario Reign5:2
- 24.10Ontario Reign3:5
- 18.10away · Manitoba Moose3:4 OT
- 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
- 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
- 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
- 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars4:3 OT
- 17.10.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars7:4
- 12.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars4:3 OT
- 11.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Texas Stars5:4 SO
- 08.02.2026Texas Stars — Manitoba Moose4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonUtica Cometspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Charlotte CheckersProvidence Bruinspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Bakersfield CondorsCalgary Wranglerspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Abbotsford CanucksColorado Eaglespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Grand Rapids GriffinsRockford IceHogspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →