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AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs

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Model prediction for 11 November

Grand Rapids Griffins55%
Draw in regulation20%
Rockford IceHogs24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 1, 18 pts; Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Grand Rapids Griffins 3 wins, Rockford IceHogs 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs3.1–2.2
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Grand Rapids Griffins goals
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Form

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 02.11away · Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 25.10Cleveland Monsters5:2
  • 24.10Cleveland Monsters2:3 SO
  • 22.10Manitoba Moose4:3
  • 18.10Rockford IceHogs5:1

Rockford IceHogs

  • 02.11Texas Stars4:3
  • 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
  • 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
  • 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
  • 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5

Head to head

  • 18.10.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs5:1
  • 18.10.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins2:4
  • 12.04.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs2:5
  • 02.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins0:5
  • 23.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins4:1

Full record: 40 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →