KHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Bars Kazan — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bars Kazan 2 wins, Spartak Moscow 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Spartak Moscow | 2.1–2.4 | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 32% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars Kazan
- Bars Kazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 23.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:3
- 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
- 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
- 23.10Cherepovets3:1
Head to head
- 10.03.2026Bars Kazan — Spartak Moscow4:1
- 25.11.2025Spartak Moscow — Bars Kazan1:0
- 10.03.2025Bars Kazan — Spartak Moscow3:5
- 12.10.2024Spartak Moscow — Bars Kazan3:0
- 17.02.2024Spartak Moscow — Bars Kazan0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
- NiznekamskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →