KHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Niznekamsk — SKA St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Niznekamsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts; SKA St. Petersburg — No. 17, 21 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 2 wins, SKA St. Petersburg 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — SKA St. Petersburg | 2.9–2.7 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Sochi2:1
- 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
- 29.10Vladivostok3:4
- 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2
- 04.11away · Vladivostok0:4
- 02.11away · Bars Kazan4:3
- 27.10Nizhny Novgorod3:4
- 25.10CSKA Moscow1:3
- 22.10Novosibirsk6:3
Head to head
- 10.02.2026Niznekamsk — SKA St. Petersburg1:5
- 15.10.2025SKA St. Petersburg — Niznekamsk2:3 SO
- 15.02.2025Niznekamsk — SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 15.10.2024SKA St. Petersburg — Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 11.11.2023SKA St. Petersburg — Niznekamsk4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Salavat Ufa | 22 | 10 | -6 | 21 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
- Bars KazanSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →