KHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Magnitogorsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 36 pts; Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 4 wins, Tractor Chelyabinsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.8–2.3 | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitogorsk
- Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11CSKA Moscow3:7
- 31.10away · Yekaterinburg4:3
- 29.10away · Novosibirsk2:5
- 27.10away · Niznekamsk3:2 OT
- 24.10Novosibirsk5:1
- 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
- 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
- 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
- 23.10Bars Kazan3:1
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Magnitogorsk6:2
- 08.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 SO
- 27.01.2026Magnitogorsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 29.12.2025Magnitogorsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk5:4 OT
- 19.12.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Magnitogorsk4:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 24 | 17 | +23 | 36 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 19 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- Bars KazanSpartak Moscowpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- NiznekamskSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →