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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins

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Model prediction for 8 November

Belleville Senators27%
Draw in regulation20%
Providence Bruins53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Providence Bruins are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts; Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Belleville Senators 0 wins, Providence Bruins 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins2.4–3.3
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Belleville Senators

  • 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
  • 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
  • 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
  • 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3

Providence Bruins

  • 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
  • 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
  • 25.10Utica Comets5:2
  • 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
  • 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators5:2
  • 24.01.2026Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators2:1 OT
  • 30.11.2025Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins4:6
  • 30.11.2025Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins3:6
  • 13.04.2025Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators4:3 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500
22Coachella Valley Firebirds1143437–43-611.500
23Providence Bruins1150638–30+810.455
24Ontario Reign1150633–42-910.455

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →