Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Providence Bruins are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts; Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Belleville Senators 0 wins, Providence Bruins 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins | 2.4–3.3 | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Belleville Senators
- Belleville Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
- 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
- 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
- 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
- 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators5:2
- 24.01.2026Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators2:1 OT
- 30.11.2025Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins4:6
- 30.11.2025Belleville Senators — Providence Bruins3:6
- 13.04.2025Providence Bruins — Belleville Senators4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 13 | 6 | -4 | 13 | .500 |
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →