Utica Comets — Rochester Americans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Utica Comets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Utica Comets are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Utica Comets — No. 3, 12 pts; Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Utica Comets 4 wins, Rochester Americans 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utica Comets — Rochester Americans | 2.7–2.5 | |
| Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Utica Comets
- Utica Comets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11Hamilton Hammers3:2 SO
- 31.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3
- 25.10away · Providence Bruins2:5
- 22.10away · Rochester Americans5:3
- 18.10Laval Rocket0:4
- 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
- 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
- 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
- 22.10Utica Comets3:5
- 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4
Head to head
- 22.10.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets3:5
- 11.10.2026Utica Comets — Rochester Americans2:1
- 12.03.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets1:4
- 15.02.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets4:7
- 15.02.2026Utica Comets — Rochester Americans1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abbotsford Canucks | 10 | 7 | +12 | 15 | .750 |
| 3 | Utica Comets | 8 | 6 | +1 | 12 | .750 |
| 4 | Laval Rocket | 11 | 8 | +18 | 16 | .727 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
AHL on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →