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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Utica Comets — Rochester Americans

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Model prediction for 8 November

Utica Comets43%
Draw in regulation22%
Rochester Americans35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Utica Comets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Utica Comets are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Utica Comets — No. 3, 12 pts; Rochester Americans — No. 15, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utica Comets 4 wins, Rochester Americans 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utica Comets — Rochester Americans2.7–2.5
Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Utica Comets goals
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Form

Utica Comets

  • 01.11Hamilton Hammers3:2 SO
  • 31.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3
  • 25.10away · Providence Bruins2:5
  • 22.10away · Rochester Americans5:3
  • 18.10Laval Rocket0:4

Rochester Americans

  • 31.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:3
  • 29.10Hershey Bears2:3
  • 24.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2 OT
  • 22.10Utica Comets3:5
  • 18.10away · Syracuse Crunch2:4

Head to head

  • 22.10.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets3:5
  • 11.10.2026Utica Comets — Rochester Americans2:1
  • 12.03.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets1:4
  • 15.02.2026Rochester Americans — Utica Comets4:7
  • 15.02.2026Utica Comets — Rochester Americans1:4

Full record: 36 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
4Laval Rocket1180339–21+1816.727
14Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1051439–29+1011.550
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →