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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears

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Model prediction for 8 November

Springfield Thunderbirds36%
Draw in regulation22%
Hershey Bears43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Hershey Bears are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts; Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Springfield Thunderbirds 2 wins, Hershey Bears 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears2.6–2.8
Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Springfield Thunderbirds

  • 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
  • 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
  • 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
  • 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
  • 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT

Hershey Bears

  • 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
  • 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
  • 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
  • 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
  • 18.10Providence Bruins1:6

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears4:2
  • 01.11.2025Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears2:3 OT
  • 20.10.2025Hershey Bears — Springfield Thunderbirds1:5
  • 19.10.2025Hershey Bears — Springfield Thunderbirds5:1
  • 20.03.2025Springfield Thunderbirds — Hershey Bears2:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
12Hershey Bears1060430–32-212.600
13Toronto Marlies1161435–34+113.591
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms1041528–42-149.450
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →