AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Charlotte Checkers — Providence Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Charlotte Checkers 49%, Providence Bruins 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts; Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Charlotte Checkers 0 wins, Providence Bruins 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte Checkers — Providence Bruins | 2.6–2.7 | |
| Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Charlotte Checkers
- Charlotte Checkers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
- 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
- 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
- 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
- 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Providence Bruins — Charlotte Checkers6:2
- 01.02.2026Charlotte Checkers — Providence Bruins0:3
- 31.01.2026Charlotte Checkers — Providence Bruins1:4
- 02.11.2025Providence Bruins — Charlotte Checkers5:2
- 12.10.2025Providence Bruins — Charlotte Checkers6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 8 | Charlotte Checkers | 12 | 8 | +6 | 16 | .667 |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- Utica CometsBelleville Senatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Hershey BearsHamilton Hammerspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Syracuse CrunchLaval Rocketpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Abbotsford CanucksColorado Eaglespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.1
- San Diego GullsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →