AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Hershey Bears — Hamilton Hammers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hershey Bears are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Hershey Bears are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts; Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Hamilton Hammers | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hershey Bears
- Hershey Bears goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
- 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
- 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
- 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
- 18.10Providence Bruins1:6
- 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
- 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
- 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Utica CometsBelleville Senatorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Charlotte CheckersProvidence Bruinspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Syracuse CrunchLaval Rocketpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Abbotsford CanucksColorado Eaglespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsManitoba Moosepreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.1
- San Diego GullsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →