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AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Utica Comets — Belleville Senators

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Model prediction for 12 November

Utica Comets51%
Draw in regulation21%
Belleville Senators28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utica Comets are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Utica Comets are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Utica Comets — No. 3, 12 pts; Belleville Senators — No. 20, 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utica Comets 4 wins, Belleville Senators 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utica Comets — Belleville Senators3.0–2.3
Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Utica Comets

  • 01.11Hamilton Hammers3:2 SO
  • 31.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton4:3
  • 25.10away · Providence Bruins2:5
  • 22.10away · Rochester Americans5:3
  • 18.10Laval Rocket0:4

Belleville Senators

  • 01.11Toronto Marlies4:1
  • 31.10Hartford Wolf Pack1:4
  • 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms0:2
  • 25.10away · Hershey Bears2:5
  • 24.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton7:3

Head to head

  • 12.10.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets2:4
  • 16.04.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets0:3
  • 05.04.2026Utica Comets — Belleville Senators4:0
  • 08.03.2026Belleville Senators — Utica Comets7:3
  • 07.03.2026Utica Comets — Belleville Senators5:2

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
3Utica Comets860222–21+112.750
4Laval Rocket1180339–21+1816.727
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →