KHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Cherepovets — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Cherepovets 50%, Tractor Chelyabinsk 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Cherepovets — No. 8, 26 pts; Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Cherepovets 3 wins, Tractor Chelyabinsk 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Cherepovets 10, Tractor Chelyabinsk 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.3–2.3 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
110 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11away · Shanghai1:3
- 30.10Spartak Moscow1:5
- 29.10Spartak Moscow3:2 SO
- 25.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:1
- 23.10away · Spartak Moscow1:3
- 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
- 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
- 26.10Novosibirsk2:1
- 23.10Bars Kazan3:1
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Cherepovets5:2
- 01.12.2025Cherepovets — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 08.03.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Cherepovets5:1
- 08.12.2024Cherepovets — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 17.01.2024Tractor Chelyabinsk — Cherepovets0:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 19 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- Nizhny NovgorodLadapreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.5
- SKA St. PetersburgDinamo Minskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →