KHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Nizhny Novgorod — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nizhny Novgorod are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Nizhny Novgorod are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.7.
Facts
- League table: Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts; Lada — No. 22, 13 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Nizhny Novgorod 3 wins, Lada 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Lada | 2.9–1.6 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
- 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
- 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
- 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
- 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
Head to head
- 11.09.2026Lada — Nizhny Novgorod2:7
- 10.02.2026Lada — Nizhny Novgorod3:1
- 30.10.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Lada2:0
- 24.10.2025Lada — Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 19.10.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Lada5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- CherepovetsTractor Chelyabinskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- SKA St. PetersburgDinamo Minskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →