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KHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk

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Model prediction for 13 November

SKA St. Petersburg34%
Draw in regulation22%
Dinamo Minsk45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo Minsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: SKA St. Petersburg — No. 17, 21 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: SKA St. Petersburg 3 wins, Dinamo Minsk 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: SKA St. Petersburg 9, Dinamo Minsk 12.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk2.5–2.8
SKA St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

SKA St. Petersburg

  • 04.11away · Vladivostok0:4
  • 02.11away · Bars Kazan4:3
  • 27.10Nizhny Novgorod3:4
  • 25.10CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 22.10Novosibirsk6:3

Dinamo Minsk

  • 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
  • 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
  • 28.10Barys Astana0:1
  • 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
  • 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 08.10.2026Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg4:2
  • 11.03.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk4:3
  • 05.03.2026Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg1:2 OT
  • 03.02.2026Dinamo Minsk — SKA St. Petersburg3:4 SO
  • 19.01.2026SKA St. Petersburg — Dinamo Minsk3:4

Full record: 56 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk2286851–66-1522
17SKA St. Petersburg211011062–65-321
18Salavat Ufa221011161–67-621

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →