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KHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

CSKA Moscow — Khabarovsk

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Model prediction for 16 November

CSKA Moscow52%
Draw in regulation23%
Khabarovsk25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 24%.

Why

  • CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.6.

Facts

  • League table: CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 34 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • CSKA Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 4 wins, Khabarovsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Khabarovsk2.3–1.6
CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)24%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)76%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • CSKA Moscow goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

CSKA Moscow

  • 03.11away · Magnitogorsk7:3
  • 01.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
  • 28.10Tractor Chelyabinsk5:1
  • 25.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
  • 23.10away · Yekaterinburg1:5

Khabarovsk

  • 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
  • 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
  • 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
  • 25.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 19.10Barys Astana5:2

Head to head

  • 23.09.2026Khabarovsk — CSKA Moscow0:2
  • 26.10.2025CSKA Moscow — Khabarovsk2:1
  • 25.09.2025Khabarovsk — CSKA Moscow2:0
  • 23.10.2024CSKA Moscow — Khabarovsk7:0
  • 24.09.2024Khabarovsk — CSKA Moscow0:3

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk24172579–56+2336
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow22170573–42+3134
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl21150655–36+1930
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan231121051–53-224
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →