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KHL · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok

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Model prediction for 16 November

Salavat Ufa45%
Draw in regulation22%
Vladivostok33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Salavat Ufa are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Salavat Ufa — No. 18, 21 pts; Vladivostok — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Salavat Ufa: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 3 wins, Vladivostok 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok2.7–2.4
Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Salavat Ufa

  • 01.11away · Shanghai2:3
  • 27.10Sochi1:2
  • 25.10Bars Kazan1:2
  • 21.10away · Magnitogorsk5:4 SO
  • 19.10away · Vladivostok0:2

Vladivostok

  • 04.11SKA St. Petersburg4:0
  • 01.11Khabarovsk2:5
  • 29.10away · Niznekamsk4:3
  • 27.10away · Lada3:1
  • 25.10away · Khabarovsk0:3

Head to head

  • 19.10.2026Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa2:0
  • 03.03.2026Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa1:2 SO
  • 01.03.2026Vladivostok — Salavat Ufa4:2
  • 31.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok5:0
  • 29.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Vladivostok6:1

Full record: 45 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDynamo Moscow24951050–62-1223
17SKA St. Petersburg211011062–65-321
18Salavat Ufa221011161–67-621
19Novosibirsk24931254–69-1521

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →