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KHL · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod

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Model prediction for 11 November

CSKA Moscow47%
Draw in regulation23%
Nizhny Novgorod30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CSKA Moscow are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.

Why

  • CSKA Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: CSKA Moscow — No. 2, 34 pts; Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • CSKA Moscow: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 3 wins, Nizhny Novgorod 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: CSKA Moscow 8, Nizhny Novgorod 10.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod2.4–1.9
CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)29%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)71%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

CSKA Moscow

  • 03.11away · Magnitogorsk7:3
  • 01.11away · Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2 OT
  • 28.10Tractor Chelyabinsk5:1
  • 25.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
  • 23.10away · Yekaterinburg1:5

Nizhny Novgorod

  • 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
  • 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
  • 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
  • 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
  • 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO

Head to head

  • 18.09.2026Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow2:3
  • 09.09.2026CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod3:0
  • 25.12.2025Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
  • 03.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod4:5 SO
  • 06.11.2025CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod1:2

Full record: 52 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk24172579–56+2336
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow22170573–42+3134
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl21150655–36+1930
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai21142564–51+1330
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNizhny Novgorod21133558–43+1529
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNiznekamsk23133765–55+1029

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

  • SKA St. PetersburgDynamo Moscowpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
  • SochiLadapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →