KHL · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Sochi — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sochi are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Sochi — No. 21, 14 pts; Lada — No. 22, 13 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Sochi 1 win, Lada 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Lada | 2.4–2.1 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11Niznekamsk1:2
- 01.11Avangard Omsk2:1 OT
- 29.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:6
- 27.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 25.10away · Lada4:3
- 02.11away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
- 30.10Avangard Omsk3:2 OT
- 27.10Vladivostok1:3
- 25.10Sochi3:4
- 23.10Shanghai0:2
Head to head
- 25.10.2026Lada — Sochi3:4
- 18.01.2026Lada — Sochi4:0
- 09.01.2026Sochi — Lada1:4
- 25.11.2025Sochi — Lada3:5
- 07.10.2025Lada — Sochi3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- CSKA MoscowNizhny Novgorodpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
- SKA St. PetersburgDynamo Moscowpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →