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NHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Detroit Red Wings — Boston Bruins

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Model prediction for 19 November

Detroit Red Wings46%
Draw in regulation23%
Boston Bruins31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 17, 17 pts; Boston Bruins — No. 4, 23 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 2 wins, Boston Bruins 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Boston Bruins3.1–2.6
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Detroit Red Wings

  • 04.11away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
  • 03.11away · Florida Panthers5:3
  • 31.10St. Louis Blues4:5
  • 30.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 27.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO

Boston Bruins

  • 03.11Vegas Golden Knights3:2 SO
  • 31.10Chicago Blackhawks5:4 OT
  • 30.10away · St. Louis Blues1:4
  • 28.10away · Carolina Hurricanes1:2
  • 25.10San Jose Sharks6:4

Head to head

  • 22.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Boston Bruins2:4
  • 14.01.2026Boston Bruins — Detroit Red Wings3:0
  • 03.12.2025Detroit Red Wings — Boston Bruins5:4
  • 30.11.2025Boston Bruins — Detroit Red Wings3:2 SO
  • 30.03.2025Detroit Red Wings — Boston Bruins2:1

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins16111458–38+2023
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights17102558–49+922
16, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken1481552–52017
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →