NHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Utah Mammoth — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Utah Mammoth 48%, Colorado Avalanche 52% including overtime.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.1.
Facts
- League table: Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts; Colorado Avalanche — No. 10, 19 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Utah Mammoth 1 win, Colorado Avalanche 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Colorado Avalanche | 3.0–3.1 | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 65% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 35% |
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Form
- 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
- 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
- 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT
- 04.11away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:7
- 03.11away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 01.11Calgary Flames5:2
- 29.10New Jersey Devils5:2
- 26.10away · Nashville Predators2:6
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Utah Mammoth — Colorado Avalanche2:4
- 24.12.2025Colorado Avalanche — Utah Mammoth1:0
- 22.10.2025Utah Mammoth — Colorado Avalanche4:3 OT
- 10.10.2025Colorado Avalanche — Utah Mammoth2:1
- 28.12.2024Utah Mammoth — Colorado Avalanche1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
NHL on the same day
- Detroit Red WingsBoston Bruinspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- New Jersey DevilsMontreal Canadienspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →