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NHL · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

New Jersey Devils — Montreal Canadiens

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Model prediction for 19 November

New Jersey Devils46%
Draw in regulation23%
Montreal Canadiens31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New Jersey Devils are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • New Jersey Devils are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: New Jersey Devils — No. 7, 20 pts; Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: New Jersey Devils 4 wins, Montreal Canadiens 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Montreal Canadiens3.0–2.6
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 04.11Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO
  • 31.10away · Vegas Golden Knights5:2
  • 29.10away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 28.10away · Dallas Stars5:1
  • 24.10Los Angeles Kings3:1

Montreal Canadiens

  • 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
  • 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
  • 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
  • 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
  • 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1

Head to head

  • 06.04.2026Montreal Canadiens — New Jersey Devils0:3
  • 05.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
  • 07.11.2025New Jersey Devils — Montreal Canadiens4:3 OT
  • 08.02.2025Montreal Canadiens — New Jersey Devils0:4
  • 26.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — New Jersey Devils3:4 OT

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights17102558–49+922
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMontreal Canadiens1593352–47+521
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew Jersey Devils15100552–43+920
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →