DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
ERC Ingolstadt — Munchen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: ERC Ingolstadt 48%, Munchen 52% including overtime.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: ERC Ingolstadt — No. 7, 20 pts; Munchen — No. 4, 27 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- ERC Ingolstadt: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: ERC Ingolstadt 2 wins, Munchen 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Munchen | 2.9–3.0 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Frankfurt Lowen2:5
- 30.10Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 25.10away · Bremerhaven2:6
- 23.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
- 20.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
- 01.11Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:1
- 30.10away · Straubing Tigers2:4
- 25.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:2
- 23.10Iserlohn Roosters3:2
- 18.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:6
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Munchen — ERC Ingolstadt1:5
- 04.04.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Munchen3:7
- 02.04.2026Munchen — ERC Ingolstadt6:3
- 31.03.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Munchen7:2
- 29.03.2026Munchen — ERC Ingolstadt5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 15 | 9 | +22 | 28 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 14 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 14 | 8 | +11 | 26 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 14 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
DEL on the same day
- Nurnberg Ice TigersBremerhavenpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Straubing TigersEisbaren Berlinpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- Adler MannheimKolnerpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.0
- SchwenningerAugsburger Pantherpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
- Iserlohn RoostersFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.9
- Krefeld PinguineGrizzly Wolfsburgpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →