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DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Krefeld Pinguine — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction for 22 November

Krefeld Pinguine48%
Draw in regulation21%
Grizzly Wolfsburg31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Krefeld Pinguine are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Krefeld Pinguine — No. 11, 17 pts; Grizzly Wolfsburg — No. 12, 17 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Grizzly Wolfsburg3.0–2.4
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 01.11away · Schwenninger3:4 OT
  • 30.10Kolner0:4
  • 28.10Schwenninger6:0
  • 25.10Munchen2:4
  • 23.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:7

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 01.11Augsburger Panther0:4
  • 30.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers1:8
  • 25.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:1 SO
  • 23.10ERC Ingolstadt1:4
  • 20.10away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3

Head to head

  • 15.10.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — Krefeld Pinguine2:1 SO

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517
13Schwenninger16331937–60-2316

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →