Khimik — Omskie Krylia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Khimik 50%, Omskie Krylia 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts; Omskie Krylia — No. 1, 34 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Omskie Krylia: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Khimik 3 wins, Omskie Krylia 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khimik — Omskie Krylia | 2.2–2.1 | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khimik
- Khimik goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
- 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
- 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
- 20.10AKM2:3 SO
- 04.11Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
- 02.11Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0
- 30.10Orsk3:2 SO
- 24.10away · Perm3:2
- 22.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:0
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Khimik — Omskie Krylia3:0
- 31.10.2025Omskie Krylia — Khimik3:2 SO
- 14.03.2025Omskie Krylia — Khimik1:4
- 05.09.2024Khimik — Omskie Krylia4:0
- 07.02.2024Khimik — Omskie Krylia4:5 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 20 | 17 | +28 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 22 | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
VHL on the same day
- OrskBuran Voronezhpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- BarsHC Norilskpreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →