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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Kolner — Liberec

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Model prediction for 11 November

Kolner37%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Kolner 47%, Liberec 53% including overtime.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kolner — Liberec2.6–2.8
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kolner
  • Kolner goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kolner

  • 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
  • 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
  • 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
  • 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • SaiPaPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime5.3
  • ServetteFribourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →