Servette — Fribourg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Servette 48%, Fribourg 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.5.
Facts
- Servette: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Servette 2 wins, Fribourg 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Servette — Fribourg | 2.4–2.5 | |
| Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Servette
- Servette goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 31.10Biel3:2
- 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
- 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
- 25.10Zurich1:5
- 23.10away · Ajoie0:5
- 30.10Servette0:1
- 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
- 27.10Davos3:1
- 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
- 23.10Biel6:3
Head to head
- 30.10.2026Fribourg — Servette0:1
- 25.09.2026Servette — Fribourg4:3 SO
- 12.04.2026Fribourg — Servette6:2
- 10.04.2026Servette — Fribourg3:4
- 08.04.2026Fribourg — Servette2:1
Champions Hockey League on the same day
- SaiPaPardubicepreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime5.3
- KolnerLiberecpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →