SaiPa — Pardubice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pardubice are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- Days of rest before the match: SaiPa 12, Pardubice 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SaiPa — Pardubice | 2.4–2.9 | |
| SaiPa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SaiPa
- SaiPa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 30.10JYP3:6
- 28.10away · Pelicans0:5
- 24.10away · Vaasan Sport3:1
- 23.10away · Vaasan Sport5:3
- 20.10Karpat2:1 SO
- 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
- 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
- 27.10Litvinov2:3
- 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
- 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT
Head to head
- 10.09.2026SaiPa — Pardubice3:2
Champions Hockey League on the same day
- KolnerLiberecpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
- ServetteFribourgpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime4.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →