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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

SaiPa — Pardubice

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Model prediction for 11 November

SaiPa31%
Draw in regulation21%
Pardubice47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • Days of rest before the match: SaiPa 12, Pardubice 10.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SaiPa — Pardubice2.4–2.9
SaiPa to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • SaiPa goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

SaiPa

  • 30.10JYP3:6
  • 28.10away · Pelicans0:5
  • 24.10away · Vaasan Sport3:1
  • 23.10away · Vaasan Sport5:3
  • 20.10Karpat2:1 SO

Pardubice

  • 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
  • 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
  • 27.10Litvinov2:3
  • 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
  • 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 10.09.2026SaiPa — Pardubice3:2

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • KolnerLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
  • ServetteFribourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →