NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild — Boston Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Minnesota Wild to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.
Minnesota Wild are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.5.
- Boston Bruins: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Minnesota Wild — Boston Bruins | 3.3–2.5 | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10away · Nashville Predators3:1
- 14.05away · Colorado Avalanche3:4 OT
- 12.05Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 10.05Colorado Avalanche5:1
- 06.05away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
- 30.09New York Rangers3:0
- 02.05Buffalo Sabres1:4
- 29.04away · Buffalo Sabres2:1 OT
- 26.04Buffalo Sabres1:6
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Boston Bruins — Minnesota Wild6:3
- 15.12.2025Minnesota Wild — Boston Bruins6:2
- 02.03.2025Minnesota Wild — Boston Bruins1:0
- 05.02.2025Boston Bruins — Minnesota Wild3:0
- 24.12.2023Minnesota Wild — Boston Bruins3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
Next matches
- Boston BruinsOttawa Senators6 October · NHL45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:4, exactly right.5.3
- Buffalo SabresMinnesota Wild7 October · NHL51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →