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NHL · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

St. Louis Blues — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 23 November

St. Louis Blues37%
Draw in regulation22%
Edmonton Oilers41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 48%, Edmonton Oilers 52% including overtime.

6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.2.

Facts

  • League table: St. Louis Blues — No. 22, 15 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: St. Louis Blues 2 wins, Edmonton Oilers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Edmonton Oilers3.0–3.2
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)65%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)35%

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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 04.11away · New York Rangers1:3
  • 31.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4
  • 30.10Boston Bruins4:1
  • 28.10Montreal Canadiens0:2
  • 25.10Carolina Hurricanes0:4

Edmonton Oilers

  • 04.11away · New Jersey Devils3:4 SO
  • 02.11away · New York Rangers4:1
  • 31.10away · New York Islanders4:0
  • 29.10Calgary Flames4:0
  • 27.10Detroit Red Wings3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026St. Louis Blues — Edmonton Oilers3:2 OT
  • 19.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — St. Louis Blues5:0
  • 04.11.2025St. Louis Blues — Edmonton Oilers3:2
  • 10.04.2025Edmonton Oilers — St. Louis Blues4:3
  • 05.02.2025St. Louis Blues — Edmonton Oilers2:3 OT

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes17122364–40+2426
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →