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NHL · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Vancouver Canucks — Chicago Blackhawks

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Model prediction for 23 November

Vancouver Canucks41%
Draw in regulation22%
Chicago Blackhawks37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Vancouver Canucks 52%, Chicago Blackhawks 48% including overtime.

6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: Vancouver Canucks — No. 32, 7 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 31, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Vancouver Canucks: 3 defeats in a row; Chicago Blackhawks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Canucks 4 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Chicago Blackhawks3.1–3.0
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)64%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)36%

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Form

Vancouver Canucks

  • 04.11Anaheim Ducks4:5
  • 01.11Toronto Maple Leafs2:4
  • 30.10away · San Jose Sharks2:3
  • 28.10away · Anaheim Ducks6:5 OT
  • 26.10Minnesota Wild2:4

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 03.11Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10away · Boston Bruins4:5 OT
  • 30.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:4
  • 28.10Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 25.10Florida Panthers2:3

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Vancouver Canucks3:6
  • 06.11.2025Vancouver Canucks — Chicago Blackhawks2:5
  • 18.10.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Vancouver Canucks2:3 SO
  • 16.03.2025Vancouver Canucks — Chicago Blackhawks6:2
  • 17.11.2024Vancouver Canucks — Chicago Blackhawks4:1

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259
32Vancouver Canucks17311351–77-267

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →