Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Wednesday, 18 November, 16:30 (UTC+3)

Torpedo — Kulager

Model prediction for 18 November

Torpedo69%

Draw in regulation17%

Kulager15%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

League table: Torpedo — No. 1, 44 pts; Kulager — No. 5, 31 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
Torpedo: 5 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Torpedo 5 wins, Kulager 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torpedo — Kulager		3.6–1.8
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)		80%
Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout)		20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Torpedo
Torpedo goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Torpedo

30.10Nomad Astana3:0
29.10Nomad Astana6:3
26.10Aktobe3:1
25.10Aktobe4:2
20.10away · Almaty4:0

Kulager

29.10Beibarys Atyrau3:2
28.10Beibarys Atyrau3:4 SO
21.10away · Aktobe4:1
20.10away · Aktobe7:1
17.10away · Beibarys Atyrau5:0

Head to head

17.09.2026Torpedo — Kulager6:3
16.09.2026Torpedo — Kulager3:2 OT
12.04.2026Kulager — Torpedo1:3
09.04.2026Torpedo — Kulager6:1
07.04.2026Torpedo — Kulager7:2

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs	Torpedo	26	21	2	3	138–46	+92	44
2, Playoffs	Nomad Astana	25	20	2	3	102–61	+41	42
4, Playoffs	Karaganda	26	17	4	5	108–60	+48	38
5, Playoffs	Kulager	24	13	5	6	87–62	+25	31
6, Playoffs	Gornyak Rudny	26	14	1	11	90–68	+22	29

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

17:00
AktobeGornyak Rudnypreliminary
1981
2The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 2:56.4
17:00
Beibarys AtyrauKaragandapreliminary
1387
2The model's most likely outcome: 214%Model's score: 1:45.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →