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Tennis: WTA, Guangzhou, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Badosa P. — Kraus S.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Badosa P.75%
Kraus S.25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Badosa P. to win (75%), came true.

Badosa P. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Badosa P. 1733, Kraus S. 1421.

Probabilities

Games over 19.553%
Games under 19.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Badosa P. games
  • Kraus S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Badosa P.

  • 26.10Lee C. Y.2:0
  • 20.10Ruzic A.1:2
  • 03.10Ostapenko J.0:2
  • 01.10Kasatkina D.2:1

Kraus S.

  • 26.10Udvardy P.2:0
  • 21.10Gibson T.0:2
  • 19.10McNally C.1:0
  • 18.10Kenin S.2:0
  • 17.10Kobori M.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Badosa P.Dart H.30 October · WTA · Guangzhou
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →