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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Bucsa C. — Joint M.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Bucsa C.52%
Joint M.48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bucsa C. to win (52%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Bucsa C. 52%, Joint M. 48%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bucsa C. 1574, Joint M. 1573.

Facts

  • Joint M.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bucsa C. games
  • Joint M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bucsa C.

  • 27.10Parry D.2:0
  • 20.10Kudermetova P.0:2
  • 13.10Yastremska D.1:2
  • 03.10Sun X.0:2
  • 25.09Noskova L.0:2

Joint M.

  • 27.10Cirstea S.2:0
  • 25.10Hontama M.2:0
  • 24.10Golubic V.2:1
  • 20.10Sonmez Z.1:2
  • 18.10Day K.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Rakhimova K.Joint M.30 October · WTA · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →