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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3)

Sasnovich A. — Shnaider D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Sasnovich A.23%
Shnaider D.77%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Shnaider D. to win (77%), came true.

Shnaider D. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sasnovich A. 1599, Shnaider D. 1784.

Facts

  • Sasnovich A.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 19.552%
Games under 19.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Shnaider D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sasnovich A.

  • 27.10Bartunkova N.2:1
  • 25.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 24.10Starodubtseva Y.2:0
  • 21.10Fernandez L.1:2
  • 19.10Kasatkina D.2:0

Shnaider D.

  • 24.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 23.10Jovic I.2:1
  • 22.10Eala A.2:0
  • 20.10Putintseva Y.2:0
  • 16.10Ostapenko J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Eala A.Shnaider D.30 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Sasnovich A.Cheuk S. Y.31 October · WTA · Hong Kong
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.18.5

WTA on the same day

  • Rakhimova K.Alexandrova E.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Bucsa C.Joint M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Siniakova K.Tararudee L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Badosa P.Kraus S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • Dart H.Tjen J.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Eala A.Gibson T.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Shi H.Yastremska D.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →